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The Taxation Trap: How Revenue Policy Is Squeezing Ordinary Kenyans

Market Analysis Monetary Policy May 9, 2026
The Finance Act has repeatedly introduced levies, expanded the VAT base, and raised excise duties on goods consumed disproportionately by low- and middle-income Kenyans. This episode reviews the distributional impact of recent revenue measures, compares Kenya's tax-to-GDP ratio against regional peers, and interrogates whether the current revenue strategy is raising enough money in the right places — or simply taxing consumption because it is easy to administer. We also examine the compliance burden on formal SMEs and the perverse incentives this creates.